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Writer's pictureLauren McGrath

Drought and DCCCS Data

Updated: Dec 10, 2024

A warm, dry autumn has made for great foliage, but there are growing concerns about the impact of a fall with no rain. Fall of 2024 has been historically dry, with Philadelphia having the longest dry period since weather record-keeping began 153 years ago – an unbelievable 42 days with no rain. For the first time in the region, there was no rain in October, and temperatures were unseasonably warm, which can cause more water to leave the soil. While the dry period ended with measurable rain on November 3 - 0.31 inches of rain was recorded at the Philadelphia Airport - Chester and Delaware Counties are still facing drought conditions.


Unsurprisingly, the lack of rain has a significant impact on the health of local waterways. As rain continues to be elusive in the region, the amount of flowing water in many waterways continues to drop causing physical changes to stream habitat. Low flow conditions can cause dramatic changes to resource availability: the resulting changes to the flow patterns and currents can cause sections of normally flowing streams to become isolated and turn into pools, trapping wildlife in stagnant water. Decreased water levels also means that there is just less space for wildlife in the stream, causing crowding and more competition for fewer resources. In some cases, small streams can dry up entirely. This dramatic loss of habitat has been documented in the Darby Creek Watershed already during this historic drought, with many volunteers reporting that the water level at their site is much lower than usual and one site, DCWP1, has been reported as completely dry since September.


Dry streambed at DCCCS Site DCWP1. Photo courtesy of Ivan Burashnikov.

Droughts also cause changes in water chemistry: changes in flow patterns can influence specific conductivity (SPC or just conductivity) and chloride levels. In periods of drought, conductivity can increase in stream systems and is often a reflection of chloride concentration. Conductivity measures the water's ability to carry an electrical current, which depends on the concentration of dissolved ions like salts, minerals, and other charged particles. High conductivity levels can indicate pollution from sources such as road salt, sewage, or agricultural runoff.


While some chloride is present in the geology of Chester and Delaware Counties, the majority of chloride is introduced into local watersheds through the application of road salts (usually sodium chloride, NaCl) to melt snow and ice in the winter. As the snow and ice melt, the salt flushes into local waterways. In areas where salt is applied frequently and in abundance, the chloride can build up in the soils, leading to salty groundwater and high levels of chloride year round – instead of just after winter storms.  Chloride, including the form road salt, is known to be harmful to sensitive fish and invertebrates in freshwater systems. When salt buildup in soils meets drought conditions, it leads to salty streams. Less rainfall, (or in the case of October 2024 no rainfall), leads to little to no dilution of groundwater entering the stream, increasing the concentration of chloride in local waterways. When these dry conditions are paired with unseasonably warm temperatures, it is a recipe for rapid evaporation of surface waters. Evaporation leaves chloride behind, causing even higher concentrations of chloride ions.  During a severe drought, stream systems are almost entirely fed by groundwater, which means the potential for higher concentrations of chloride ions. In the DCCCS protocol, conductivity and chloride measurements are taken together, which can indicate if high conductivity is because of chloride or from another source.


Figure 1. Average SPC and November 2024 SPC at Darby and Cobbs Creek Community Science sample sites, as of 11/15/2024. Error bars (reaching above and blow the black data points) represent standard error of the average. Large error bars indicate high variation in SPC over time, small error bars indicate little variation. Red points indicate SPC during the November 2024 sample period. Sites with no red points do not have data submitted for November 2024 as of 11/15/2024. Red points that are beyond the end caps of the error bars are outside of the normal range of variation, and show significant deviation from normal measurements.

This pattern became evident when looking at the DCCCS data collected during this historic dry period: when comparing conductivity (SPC) data from the November sample period, at the height of the drought, to average values, there are 18 sites with above average SPC, two sites with below average SPC, and five sites with average SPC (Figure 1). A similar trend occurs when making the same comparison with the chloride concentration data: 16 sites with above average chloride concentrations, 2 sites with below average chloride concentrations, and 7 sites with average chloride concentrations (Figure 2).

Figure 2. Average Chloride Concentration and November 2024 Chloride at Darby and Cobbs Creek Community Science sample sites, as of 11/15/2024. Error bars (reaching above and blow the black data points) represent standard error of the average. Large error bars indicate high variation in SPC over time, small error bars indicate little variation. Red points indicate chloride concentration during the November 2024 sample period. Sites with no red points do not have data submitted for November 2024 as of 11/15/2024. Red points outside of error bars are outside of the normal range of variation.

As the graphs demonstrate, the lack of rain has played a large role in the future health and function of Darby and Cobbs Creeks. When these trends are laid out on the landscape of the Darby & Cobbs watershed, it becomes apparent that there is a complicated relationship between the land, water, and the weather (Map 1). Some sites have seen no notable change or even a decrease in conductivity during the drought (DCYM1, DCCM1, DCSW1), while other small streams (DCCL1, DCIC1, DCLR1) had an increase in conductivity. Reasons for this are complicated - these sites may have less salt contamination in groundwater sources or there may be more surface flow.

Map 1. Water Chemistry by site in the Darby & Cobbs Watershed. The color of the site indicates the difference between historic fall conductivity (SPC) data and 2024's drought period. The size of the site is related to the average SPC for that site. For example, DCDG1 with a large red site indicator shows that the average SPC is normally high (~750 uS/cm) with a large increase in SPC (225-300 uS/cm increase) in 2024. In contrast, DCSW1 has a small blue site indicator, showing that the average SPC is normally in the lower range (~550 uS/cm) and decreased in in SPC (-115 to -30 uS/cm). Gray sites do not have enough data for statistical analysis.

Interactions between surface water and groundwater are complex and remain poorly understood across the entirety of the watershed. Many of the sites most highly impacted by the drought are small tributary streams, while the Cobbs Creek remain fairly stable with fairly consistent elevations in SPC (CCMP1, CCPO2, CCPO1, CCNR1, CCNR3, CCEC1). However, as the Darby & Cobbs Creeks flow towards the Delaware River, the streams become larger: more water flowing in the channel often causes lower chloride and conductivity readings, which makes the increases in SPC across the entire lower Darby Creek notable (DCHF2, DCMP1, DCRG1, DCHP1, DCSC1, DCFO1).


Long-term, high-frequency water quality data, such as those you collect, are invaluable for understanding the impacts of these unusual weather patterns on stream ecosystems. It takes consistent data collection to paint a detailed picture of the health and function of a river system. These are preliminary results that we will continue to explore as more time, data, and droughts are added to the data set.


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